Japanese Yen Performs on Stocks Slump

The Japanese currency rose from the local bottom levels against all other major currencies today after the stock markets fell yesterday and the outlook for today’s sessions remain bearish.

The rally of the high-interest currencies was supported mainly by the growth in the developed and emerging stock markets that was clearly visible during the last two weeks. As the optimism of the investors vanishes and the technical analysis theories suggest a correction, the low-yielding currencies, such as yen, begin to rise on the Forex market.

The decision by the Bank of Japan to leave the interest rate unchanged at 0.1 percent today wasn’t a surprise to the market participants. But the lack of announcement of the quantitative easement definitely improved the attractiveness of the Japanese currency.

The traders simply believe that more losses are yet to be reported by the financial institutions throughout the world and that the available anti-criss measures won’t make those losses look too small to be neglected. Such currencies as the euro have little chance against the Japanese yen in these conditions. However, analysts suggest great care with entering the long positions on the yen as the period of the global decline might not last longer than a week.

USD/JPY fell from 101.05 to 100.39 as of 9:32 GMT today after reaching as high as 101.43 yesterday — the highest level since October 21st 2008. EUR/JPY declined from 135.42 to 134.00, while GBP/USD dropped from 1.4745 to 1.4725 today.

Forex: GBP/USD: Pound rejected by the 1.4745 level

Sellers seem to have flocked to the GBP/USD as the pair reached 1.4745 level, sending the pair below minor support 1.4675 towards 1.4635 intra-day low.

On the downside, in case downside reaction is strong enough to break below 1.4635 level, next support levels would come at 1.4580 (Apr 7 low) and 1.4560 (100 day moving average). On the upside, above 1.4745 intra-day high, next resistance level lies now at 1.4776 (Apr 7 high) and, above here, 1.4875.

According to Valeria Bednarik, collaborator at FXstreet.com, traders are squaring positions ahead of Easter holidays: "Gbp remains also slightly bullish, but contained in a tight range around the 1.4700 zone, as traders square positions ahead of the Easter Holiday. Indicators are mostly flat in the hourly chart, not giving clear signs of further bias, while bigger time frames suggest some upside pressure, limited by the 1.4780 zone."

USD/CHF: Dollar bounces from 1.1345 support

The Dollar seems to have found support at 1.1345 levels and the pair has risen to levels right below 1.1400 in European trading session.

Above 1.1400, next resistance levels come at 1.1415 and 1.1445. On the downside, below 1.1345, next support levels could stand at 21.1320 and 1.1290.

According to Tim Salem, collaborator at FXstreet.com, key levels to observe are 1.1500/05 and 1.1345: “A Bullish Flag Formation begins to reveal itself and if Formation completed, we find Upside “potential” to rest @ the 1.1500/05 Dynamic Resistance handle in the Intraday Mid-Term. Failure to remain@ the 1.1346 Dynamic Support will begin to negate the Formation and brings 1.1322 and 1.1292 Dynamic Supports into View.”

Asian Session – Equity Weakness Moderate

The Usd was mixed in the Asian session, as stocks are showing only moderate weakness. The EurUsd traded down to 1.3322 from 1.3427, while the UsdJpy trended lower to 100.25 from 101.11. The Aud initially spiked lower before reversing and heading higher as the RBA unexpectedly cut rates. The AudUsd traded sharply down to 0.7045 before rapidly trading to 0.7181. Wall Street was able to rally of the session lows to close only moderately weaker. While Asia regional indexes are soft, European stock markets are trading higher. With FX / Equity correlation (a proxy for risk) well-established, traders will be watching stocks carefully. We are seeing commodities moving higher, with gold up 1.16% to $878.97oz and crude wti up 1.0%. Should equities be able to shake off negative buzz of low volume, short covering, weak earnings and lack of value we should see the greenback come under renewed selling pressure? However. Should traders embrace reality and sell into this fragile bear rally we will witness a sudden shift in the Euro fate.

In Australia, the RBA surprised the market and cut rates by 25bp to 3.00%. The RBA cited downward revisions to global economic growth and domestic economy is still contracting as some of reason for the move. The accompanying statement left the door open for further rate cuts based on further deterioration in economic data. In Japan, the BOJ left rates unchanged at 0.10% but enlarged the range of collateral the banks can utilize in their transactions with the central bank. There was no mention of quantitative measures but efforts to keep borrowing costs as low as possible are ongoing. The BoJ also announced that it has resumed purchases of stocks held by banks to help shore up capital bases, and studies are still being made on providing subordinated loans to banks.

Crude oil remains above 50$/b

Crude oil started the week firmer, hitting its highest level in more than four months in Europe amid a soft dollar. However, later on weakness in stock markets translated into selling pressure in crude and commodity markets as a whole.

OPEC may be able to live with oil prices around 50$/b in 2009, its Secretary General said last week, another sign the group has limited its price aspirations for now because of the weak economy. The comments are the first indication from OPEC of how long it can withstand oil at 50$/b, below the 70-$75 many in OPEC and the oil industry say is needed to encourage investment in new supply. If oil does not drop, also Saudi Arabia appears unlikely to seek another output cut at OPEC's meeting in May even though prices are a long way short of Riyadh's stated 75$/b price target.Saudi Arabia cut the official selling price for Arab Light crude in May to refiners globally for the first time in five months, state oil firm Saudi Aramco said on Sunday. The country lowered the Arab Light price for customers in the Far East by 10 USc to the Oman/Dubai average plus 80 USc/b.

The IEA is likely to lower its global oil demand forecasts significantly as more bleak economic data emerges, its chief said last Thursday. The possibility for downward revision will be high, Nobuo Tanaka, the agency's executive director, told Reuters in an interview on the sidelines of a Paris conference.

U.S. crude oil imports in January increased by 433 kb/d, i.e. 4.6%, from the month before to 9.852 mln.b/d, but it was still the lowest January import level since 2006, according to EIA. However, the imports were down 148 kb/d, or 1.5 %, from 10 mln.b/d a year ago, but the highest for any month since last November.
Nigeria's oil production, including condensates and natural gas liquids, stood at 1.9 mln.b/d in January, down 300kb/d from December's output of 2.2 mln.b/d, the country's central bank said Monday. The country has an installed production capacity of 3.2 mln.b/d, but violence in the main producing region, the Niger Delta, has reduced Nigeria's output to far below its potential. The bank said that due to lower output coupled with the fall in global oil prices, Nigeria's oil income dropped 19.2% to 1.85 bln.$ in January, down from 2.29 bln.$ in the preceding month

European markets fluctuate; Euro consolidates and Pound ticks up

European markets are fluctuating between gains and losses after a positive opening Tuesday; Euro consolidates at lower levels after declines from yesterday’s highs, while the pound attempts to crawl higher.Eurostoxx 50 Index edges up 0.25%, while German DAX index gains 0.17%. London FTSE Index trades 0.68% above the opening level.

Euro and Pound have attempted to pick up from intra-day lows the Euro has been rejected by immediate resistance while the Pound stands above session high ahead of industrial production data.

Euro – Dollar attempt of recovery to walk away from intra-day low at 1.3320 has been short lived, and the Euro has returned below 1.3385 resistance level.
The Pound seems to be crawling higher as after having bounced up at 1.4640, and the pair has stretched right above 1.4710 level, nevertheless, upside move does not seem to be very strong ahead of the UK Industrial production data.

USD/JPY seems to be consolidating above 100.00 level after retreat from yesterday’s high at 101.45, at the moment the Dollar moves from 100.35 to 100.65.

Forex: GBP/USD: The Pound pulls back to 1.4640 support

GBP/USD decline from 1.4955 2-month high, has extended during Tuesday’s Asian session reaching 1.4640 support level. At the moment, the Pound seems to be consolidating between the mentioned support and 1.4700, bearish momentum seems to be losing strength and volatility has decreased during the last hours.
In case of further bearish move, below 1.4640, next support levels could be 1.4565 (100-day moving average), and below there, 1.4460 (38.2% Fib retracement of Mar 11 to Apr 6 rally).On the upside, above 1.4700, next resistance could come at 1.4775 and 1.4880. Above here yesterday’s high at 1, 4955 would be on sight.
GBP/JPY pulled back from yesterday’s high at 151.50, reaching an Asian session low at 146.80, to consolidate afterwards between 147.15 and 148.00.

HSBC Holdings' investors take up 96.6% of US$17.7 bln. Rights offering

Sunday,HSBC Holdings Plc (HBC: News ,HSBA.L: News ) revealed that its investors took up 96.6% of the rights issue to raise about 12.5 billion pounds or US$17.7 billion, net of expenses. The bank announced the rights issue early last month. HSBC will use the proceeds to strengthen capital and finance acquisitions that fit with the company's strategy of expansion in emerging markets.In a statement, group chairman, Stephen Green said, "I would like to thank shareholders for their support in this successful Rights Issue. This underlines our determination that HSBC should maintain its signature financial strength which has served us so well over HSBC's long history. We remain confident that HSBC is well-placed in today's environment and that our strength leads to opportunity."
Goldman Sachs International is acting as sponsor and corporate broker, joint global co-ordinator and joint book runner of the Rights Issue. JPMorgan Cazenove is acting as joint global co-ordinator and joint book runner. Further, HSBC Bank plc is acting as joint global co-ordinator, joint book runner and corporate broker.HSBC, unlike rivals Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS, RBS.L) and Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LYG, LLOY.L), did not need a capital injection from the government and its share offering is fully underwritten.

India's March exports seen at $12-14 billion

India's exports may show a further decline for the sixth straight month in March due to demand contraction in the markets such as the United States, the European Union, Japan and the West Asia, a survey by the industry chamber Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (Ficci) revealed. The survey was conducted in the last two weeks of March and about 125 entities were surveyed for the purpose.
While engineering goods, gems and jewellery, chemicals, marine products, tyres and to some extent leather are among the sectors that anticipate negative or zero growth, processed food and agro-items, sports goods and apparel exporters expect a modest growth of 1-5% in 2009-10. Pharmaceutical exports from the country, which are immune to changes in income levels, are expected to grow by more than 13% because of lesser presence of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in the international market.After showing an impressive growth of over 30% in the first six months of 2008-09, India's exports started contracting in October, when shipments dipped 12.1% for the first time in five years due to the recession in the developed markets.
While the US and European Union together constitute more than one-third of India's total exports, markets such as West Asia, the Asian region and Japan, account for about 15%, 2.4% and 10% of the country's overall exports. The official export data for March is scheduled to be released on May 1.

Alcoa Prices Common Stock offering at $5.25/share - Update

Aluminum producer Alcoa Inc. (AA: News ) said that it has priced its public offering of 150 million shares of common stock at $5.25 per share, and also announced the pricing of its convertible notes offering. Total proceeds from the two offerings, estimated to be about $1.3 billion, and is intended to be used for the repayment of outstanding indebtedness under its senior unsecured 364-day revolving credit facility.
Under the common stock offer, the company will sell 150 million shares to the public. Alcoa has also granted an option to purchase up to an additional 22.5 million shares of common stock to the underwriters on the same terms and conditions to cover over-allotments, if any.
The offerings are expected to close on March 24, 2009, subject to customary closing conditions, without contingent on the closing of each other, the company said. A is currently trading at $5.91, $0.43 or 7.85% on the NYSE, with a volume of 72 million shares.

Amended: Wall Street Gears For Next Earnings Round

Amended: corrects 19th paragraph to say Chevron is releasing first quarter "update" and not "results" on April 9.After living through a nightmare in the fourth quarter, the companies that contour the S&P 500 are now bracing to face yet another horrendous quarter, which will kick-start when Alcoa Inc. (AA: News) officially pioneers the earnings season after market-close on April 7. However, industry experts project a smaller 36% decline in first-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies, compared to a 67% slide in the fourth quarter of 2008, amid recessionary pressures.
Many companies have drastically cut or withdrawn guidance, in view of the prevalent economic uncertainties. Alcoa, the litmus test for the season, has said its first-quarter results would continue to be callously encroached by the global meltdown that has adversely affected pricing and demand for aluminum, alumina and aluminum products.The company expects to incur a net loss for the quarter ended March 31, but sees benefit from a strong dollar. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect the company to report a loss of $0.52 per share on revenues of $4.08 billion for the quarter. Analysts' estimates typically exclude special items. In the year-ago period, the company posted earnings of $0.37 per share on revenues of $7.38 billion.

Economic Numbers Confirm Let Up In Pace of Slowdown

The G20 meeting, a change in the 'mark-to-market ' accounting procedure and a few slightly better-than-expected readings made the week for the markets, as they continued to climb higher for the fourth consecutive week. Analysts and traders began to firmly call a bottom in economic activity. Is the market's faith well founded or is it fleeting? A more careful look at recent developments suggests that we may have reached an inflection point, which demarcates a rapid contraction and a contraction at a less rapid rate than previously.Pointing to the recent weeks' positive readings, Danske Bank said these signs of life support its view that the economy is in the early stages of stabilization and will return to positive growth in the second half of the year.That said, the non-farm payroll report released last week reinforced the weakness of the job market, with the March report showing a loss of 663,000 jobs. Additionally, the January reading was revised down to show a decline of 741,000 jobs in January. In March, job losses were broad based, with all sectors other than education and healthcare, showing employment declines. The manufacturing and construction sectors were the worst hit.A taste of things to come by was revealed by the weekly jobless claims report, which showed that new claims continued to rose to a 26-year high in the week ended March 28th, and a private sector employment report, which showed steep job losses for March. While initial jobless claims rose to 669,000 from the previous week's upwardly revised 652,000. Continuing claims for the week ended March 21st rose to 5.728 million from 5.567 million in the previous week. The ADP's employment report showed that job losses in the private sector amounted to 742,000 in March, much higher than the forecast for a decrease of 663,000 jobs. Manufacturing activity picked up from record low levels. The Institute for Supply Management's purchasing managers' index for March came in at 36.3, just above economists' expectation of 36. The new orders index rose by 8 points to 41.2 and the backlog of orders rose to 35.5, its highest level since September. While the production index remained almost unchanged, the employment index rose 2 points to 28.1. This is despite the NAPM-Chicago manufacturing survey showing that the business barometer index slid 3 points to 31.4 in March, marking the lowest reading since 1980. The indexes of production and order backlogs fell 2 points and 8 points, respectively to 32.7 and 21.3. However, the new orders index rose 0.3 points to 30.9 and the employment index climbed 3 points to 28.1. At the same time, the prices paid index fell to 34.1 in March from 37.8 in February.

Asian markets extend gains on increasing optimism about global recovery

The major markets across the Asia-Pacific region ended higher on Monday, unfazed by the rocket launch by North Korea on Sunday, extending the gains for the fifth consecutive week, on increasing optimism that the worst of the global economic crisis is over and the initiatives of the governments will yield positive results in the near term.
Positive comments by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner also lifted the sentiment across the markets.
Bernanke, while speaking at Charlotte on Friday, said that the Federal Reserve will use all possible tools at its disposal to help the U.S economy come out of the recession. While not offering any timeline for recovery of the U.S economy, Bernanke stated that the initiatives are beginning to yield positive results. He pointed out the increase in refinance activities and drop in mortgage rates as examples of response for the Fed initiatives.

Canadian Dollar Bounces Back Against Euro

The Canadian dollar bounced back against the European currency after trading lower during Monday's Asian trading. The loonie thus climbed from 1.664 to 1.6556 by about 5:00 am ET. On the upside, 1.654 is seen as the next target level for the Canadian currency. At last week's close, the euro-loonie pair was quoted at 1.6612.

ECB Bini Smaghi: Euro Zone Must Speak With One Voice on Forex

FRANKFURT - (Dow Jones)- All euro-zone institutions should speak with one voice on exchange rate issues, also the area's representatives at the International Monetary Fund, Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, a member of the European Central Bank's Executive Board, said Monday."This holds in particular for the IMF, which since 2007 has been enhancing its surveillance of exchange rate policies," Bini Smaghi said, according to the text of his speech.
It is my conviction that a unified representation of the euro area countries at the IMF would strengthen the exchange rate policy of the euro," he said, speaking at an event organized by the European Commission.
At 0907 GMT, the euro traded at $1.3527.

Yen Heads for Biggest Quarterly Loss in Years

The Japanese yen declined today against the other major currencies as the stock markets corrected after the yesterday’s fall and the yen became too overbought. The Japanese yen declined today against the other major currencies as the stock markets corrected after the yesterday’s fall and the yen became too overbought.
Some analysts go as far as saying that the lower business confidence index that will be reported tomorrow will push the yen out of the list of «safe haven» currencies and, lacking the higher interest rate, it will be the major Forex outsider in the near future. Of course, if the confidence index is reported at a reasonably better value, the yen may go up significantly.USD/JPY rose from 97.43 to 98.32 as of 9:07 GMT today.
EUR/JPY advanced from 128.63 to 130.64 today, while GBP/JPY went up from 138.97 to 140.38.

Pound Gains as House Prices Rise

The British pound rose today against the other major currencies as the house prices demonstrated growth for the first time since October 2007 in United Kingdom this March.
The market participants expected that the March report on the nationwide house prices in Great Britain will show a continued decline on the recessing economy. They were wrong as the report showed 0.9 percent month-to-month growth (and still 15.7 percent year-to-year decline) after the February’s 1.9 percent slump. It added some positive to otherwise rather pessimistic pound’s trend.Although there can be seen other factors in the current pound’s growth — like the decline in risk-aversion, the analysts point at the housing release as the primary reason. The pound is extremely dependent on the domestic real estate sector.GBP/USD rose from 1.4452 to 1.4557 as of 9:26 GMT today. EUR/GBP declined from 0.9153 to 0.9107, while GBP/JPY increased from 142.58 to 144.60 today,

KRW Falls as Government Cools Optimism

The South Korean won declined today against the U.S. dollar after rising for the whole week after the country’s government said that the current investors’ outlook for the economy are too optimistic.
The currency was in the uptrend this week as the markets have seen a serious decline in the risk-aversion. Despite the rising stock markets in the Asian region, the Forex market looks more pro-safety and less pro-yield today. The commentary made in the e-mail statement by the Ministry of Strategy and Finance pointed out the excess optimism in for the South Korean economy. Only a slightest increase in manufacturing and services is expected for March.
Some analysts also believe that the government’s action to cool down the traders’ optimism is a form of a currency intervention to prevent the won from appreciating too very fast as it has been doing recently. Weak currency is one of the advantages Korean companies have now and it would be better for the whole economy not to lose this advantage.
USD/KRW rose from 1329.6 to 1340.5 as of 6:00 GMT today. During the earlier trading it was down by 1.8 percent as the G20 countries pledged to spend $1 trillion to stimulate the global economy.

FOREX: Ringgit Close Higher Against US Dollar

KUALA LUMPUR, April 6 (Bernama)-- The ringgit closed higher against the US dollar today on hopes of a global economic recovery with the US$1.1 trillion stimulus package by the Group of 20, dealers said.
It also helped boost sentiment among Asian currencies, they added. Recently released US jobs data, though remaining weak, did not dampen the sentiment for Asian currencies either.
The ringgit closed higher against the US dollar at 3.5560/5610 from 3.5790/5820 on Friday. The ringgit was also higher against the Singapore dollar at 2.3686/3740 from 2.3779/3833 on Friday and gained against the yen at 3.5035/5098 from 3.5742/5799 previously. As against the British pound, the ringgit was lower at 5.3034/3123 from 5.2855/2943 on Friday and higher against the euro at 4.8085/8163 from 4.8125/8203 previously.

'India should closely monitor forex reserves'

India should closely monitor the foreign exchange reserves, which was 248 billion USD in 2008-09 compared to 309 billion USD the year earlier, Chairman and Managing Director of Export-Import Bank T C Venkat Subramanian has said. Delivering the convocation address at Thiagarajar School of Management here yesterday, he blamed America for the global economic crisis and said the it turned out to be 'toxic acid for the US economy".
He said the economic meltdown was spread from America and when that country's imports came down, it affected the economy of other countries, including Japan and the European union.
American people had borrowed heavily for their homes without focusing on savings. "Negative savings rate in that country made things worse, affecting the financial system", he said.He said a remittance from Indian workforce was likely to come down by 10 to 15 per cent.
The forex inflow through foreign direct investment, stock markets and foreign institutions had come down from $64 billion to $13 billion. However, he said the IT companies would revive by 2010 throguh cost cutting.

Euro Pares Gains Following the Drop in Inflation, U.S. Dollar to Face Risk Trends as Market Sentiment Improves.

The Euro rallied against the U.S. dollar for the third day to reach a high of 1.3584 as market sentiment improved however, deteriorating fundamentals in the region weighed on the single-currency as the economic calendar continued to reinforce a weakening outlook for growth and inflation.
Talking Points• Japanese Yen: Breaks 101.00 to Reach Five-Month High• Pound: New Car Registration Drops 30.5%• Euro: Producer Prices Drop 4.0% from Last Year• US Dollar: Fed Governor Warsh to Speak.
Euro Pares Gains Following the Drop in Inflation, U.S. Dollar to Face Risk Trends as Market Sentiment Improves.
The Euro rallied against the U.S. dollar for the third day to reach a high of1.3584 as market sentiment improved however, deteriorating fundamentals in the region weighed on the single-currency as the economic calendar continued to reinforce a weakening outlook for growth and inflation. The Sentix investor confidence survey for the Euro-Zone rebounded from a record low reading of -42.7 to -35.3 in April, which was much higher than the -40.7 forecast held by economists, while retail spending in the region dropped 0.6% in February as households face a weakening labor. Moreover, producer prices fell 0.5% in February, while the annualized rate dropped another 4.0% from the previous year, which is the biggest decline since April 1999. Falling price pressures paired with fading demands from home and abroad continues to reinforce fears of a deepening recession in the euro-region, and as the ECB maintains a 2% target for price growth, the central bank may continue to ease policy in the month ahead as the risks for deflation intensify.Furthermore, the British pound strengthened against the greenback for the fifth day to break above 1.4900, and the pair may continue to push higher over the next 24 hours of trading as market participants move into higher risk/reward investments. Meanwhile, the economic docket for the U.K. showed that new car registrations plunged 30.5% from the previous year after falling 21.9% in the previous month, and the outlook for private-spending remains bleak as households continue to face tightening credit conditions paired with fading demands for employment. Nevertheless, as the Bank of England is widely expected to hold the benchmark interest rate at the record-low this week in an effort to mitigate the downside risks for growth and inflation, and the board may step up its purchases of Gilts to jump-start the economy as the region faces its worst recession since World War II.

The U.S. dollar strengthened to a five-month high against the Japanese yen as the pair surged above 101.00 for the first time since October, and the exchange rate is likely to push higher as investors raise demands for carry trades. However, the economic docket for Japan continued to foreshadow a deepening downturn in the world economy as the leading index slipped to a record-low of 75.2 in February from 77.2 in the previous month, and as the fundamental outlook for the world’s second largest economy continues to deteriorate at a rapid pace, the marked slowdown in global trade could weigh on the markets as economic activity falters.

As the U.S. economic calendar lacks market-moving potential, risk trends are likely to dictate price action in the currency markets, and the rise in market sentiment may continue to weigh on the dollar as investors move into higher-yielding assets. Nevertheless, Fed Governor Kevin Warsh is schedule to speak at the Council of Institutional Investors in Washington at 17:00 GMT, and comments from the board member is likely to reinforce a dour outlook for growth and inflation as the economy faces its worst economic downturn in over half a century. Meanwhile, U.S. equity futures foreshadows a higher open for the market today, and the rise in confidence is likely to weigh on the reserve currency as investors continue to boost their appetite for higher risk/reward investments.

Euro-Zone Producer Prices Falter, Weighing on the Outlook for Inflation

Investor confidence in the Euro-Zone rebounded from a record low in April as the Sentix survey rose to -35.3 from -42.7 in the previous month. A deeper look into the report showed that current situation increase to 55.25 from -59.75, while future expectations jumped to -12.5 from -23.5

NZD Reaches Highest since Early January

The New Zealand dollar rose to the highest level since early January 2009 today, backed by the support from the continuously growing emerging and developed stock markets.
The kiwi (as the NZD is often called by the Forex traders) also rose against the Australian dollar, which advanced against the «safe haven» currencies too. The New Zealand dollar rose to the 5-month high level against the Japanese yen. The traders are now more confident in the stable interest rate position rather than its reduction for the future monetary policy meetings of the Australian and New Zealand reserve banks.
Currency analysts believe that both the Australian and New Zealand dollars may continue their gaining rally at least until May if the benchmark rates are left unchanged and the stock markets continue to grow with the current optimism. The cut of the rates will pose a serious obstacle for the appreciation of these high-yielding currencies.
NZD/USD rose from 0.5878 to 0.5914 as of 8:05 GMT today with the daily high at 0.5977 — the highest level since January 7. NZD/JPY went up from 58.92 to 59.83, while AUD/NZD declined from 1.2168 to 1.2094 reaching the daily low at 1.2027 — the record minimum since January 14.

EUR/USD: Euro trades below 1.3515 support level

The Euro has lost in European session most of the ground taken during Asian session, and trades below 1.3525 support level, on its way towards 1.3475.
In case of decline below 1.3475, next support level could come at 1.3450, and then 1.3415. On the upside, bullish reaction above 1.3515, could open the doors to a re-test of the 1.3580 (Mar 27 high), and once past that level, 1.3635 (Mar 26 high) level could be eyed.

According to the Swiss e Trade Strategy Team, lower levels could be tested today before a moving further up: “After attempting to test the 1.3600 resistance in Asian trading, the pair fell back in European morning trading and is currently priced at 1.3530. We expect lower levels to be reached today, probably testing the 1.3450 support level, before another up move can set in.”

Risk appetite drives European markets higher, Euro steps back and Yen drops lower

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) – European stock markets have opened the week in positive levels, on the back of increased risk appetite supported by the worst of the global economic crisis has been left behind. The Euro has eased and Pound consolidated gains while the Yen remains at 5-months low.Eurostoxx 50 index is going through gains by 1.05% with German DAX 90.91% up and French CAC 1.08% up: London FTSE Index adds 0.98%.Macroeconomic data has failed to cheer investors, with retail sales in the Euro Area posting the steepest yearly decline; 4.0% down in February, instead of the 2.0% decline expected, and Producer Prices recording a 1.8% year on year decline, the largest in 10 years. Euro drops from high levels, Yen declines further The Euro seems to have The Euro has lost in European session most of the ground taken during Asian session, and trades below 1.3525 support level, on its way towards 1.3475.GBP/USD moves around 1.4900 level, after having reached a session high at 1.4950 on its rally from 1.4840 Asian session opening price.USD/JPY has reached 101 35 resistance level during the European session and the pair is trying to break above it at the moment. The Dollar has appreciated 0.98% against the Yen from the opening price at 100.30.

Tips to Make Money Fast in Forex

This is all about making a fortune with Forex. Most traders just go with the flow and make average gains, with this article you will learn what makes some traders stand out and a lot richer than others!
We are going to assume that you know how to trade, and has quite an experience in trading.
With simple changes in your trade selection, money and risk management, and mindset, you can change that average gains into larger ones!
Fast money is in Forex, it is a lifestyle. Here is it how it’s done.
Tip1. Embrace Changeability and Risk with a Smile
Forex system have instability.
If you cannot manage and calculate your risk, then don't ever think about trading in Forex. Many traders back away from forex because of this (why do you even traded in the first place?). But taking manageable risks has its rewards.
It's just simple, you know what your losing if ever it doesn't work out, yet what you gain is unpredictable but sure is high! That is what I call excitement, my friend.
To a well-educated Forex trader, this is something you shouldn't be afraid of, might as well embrace it.
Tip 2. Trade Less, gain more
Most traders think that if they don't trade, another door has closed, or miss some move. The tendency, they trade frequently. Most of the trades that come big come a few times in a year. Focus on the trades that make the really big gains. Be alert, and informed.
Tip 3. Diversify is a no-no
Most Investors accept the fact that diversification can make money fast - in reality it does exactly the opposite.
Tip 4. Money and Risk Management
This article has been concentrating on the big gains, because this is your money, so every penny should be controlled, this is where money management kicks in.
Control your risks, but increase your chances of success:
- Give yourself staying power by buying options at or in the money, this prevents you from getting stopped out. Many traders lose not by the market direction, but because they were stopped out by a instable move, and options will give you staying power.
- Keep your stop in its original position - until the move is well in profit, before moving it up.
- Trading fast and selectively - have the courage to trade when you feel it is good and enjoy the cash.
Tip 5. Compound growth has its benefits
The way to make money fast in forex, is to understand the power of compound growth. For example, if you target 50% a year in your trading, you can grow an initial $20,000 account, to over a million dollars, in under 10 years.
Break the norm, and gain more. Follow some of these tips and make your way into the big gains!
By Ryan Joseph Ferrer.

Economical Crisis 2008

Financial crisis:
In 2008, a global financial crisis was recommended by a number of important indicators of financial slump global. These built-in high oil prices, which led to equally high food prices (outstanding to a reliance of food production on fuel, as well as by food crop products such as ethanol and bio diesel as an substitute to petroleum) and universal inflation; a significant credit crisis primary to the insolvency of large sound established investment banks as well as commercial banks in different nations approximately the globe; increased unemployment; and the prospect of a international slump.
The global financial crisis, brewing for a while, really started to show its effects in the centre of 2008. Around the world stock markets have fallen, large financial institutions have distorted or been bought out, and governments in even the wealthiest nations have had to come up with rescue packages to bail out their financial systems.
High Commodities Prices:
The energy sector has changed significantly over the last few years. We are using more and more energy and energy prices are perhaps more unstable and unpredictable than ever before. While global oil utilization has increased by 30% since 1994, oil and gas prices have nearly doubled in the EU over the past two years. At the same time, remaining fossil fuels are becoming more and more concentrated in some countries with sometimes unstable conditions, while the threat of climate change is pushing us towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
In January 2008, oil prices surpassed $110 a barrel for the first time, the first of several price milestones to be passed in the course of the year. End of July the price of oil reached as high as $156 a barrel although prices fell soon after. In the second term of 2008, the prices of the majority commodities fell radically on prospect of diminished demand in a global slump.
INFLATION:
In End of February 2008, the Inflation rate is high for majority of nations in the world. Surplus money supply around the globe, economic reduction by the domestic financial crisis, increase rush supported by easy fiscal policy in Asia, assumption in commodities, agricultural failure, rising cost of imports from China and rising requirement of food and commodities in the fast growing rising markets.
Briefly a United Nations Conference on Trade and Development report, the Third World Network notes the impacts the crisis could have around the world, especially on developing countries that are dependent on commodities for import or export:
For the developing world, the rise in food prices as well as the unplanned effects from the financial instability and uncertainty in manufacturing nations is having a compounding effect. High fuel costs, high commodity prices together with fears of global slump are worrying many developing country analysts.
In recent years, the global economic policy atmosphere seems to have become more encouraging to fresh thinking about the need for bilateral actions against the negative impacts of large commodity price fluctuations on development and macroeconomic stability in the world economy.
On the other hand, inflation was also rising in countries off the record by the IMF as "non-oil-exporting LDCs" (Least Developed Countries) and "Developing Asia", on description of the rise in oil and food prices. Inflation was also increasing in the developed countries, but remained low compared to the developing world.
Unemployment:
The Global Labor Organization predicted that at least 20 million jobs will have been gone by the end of 2009 due to the crisis, typically in "construction, real estate, financial services, and the auto sector" bringing world joblessness above 200 million for the first time.Nonfarm payroll employment cut down by 240,000 in October, and the job loss rate rose from 6.1 to 6.5 percent, the government department of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. October's drop in payroll employment followed declines of 127,000 in August and 284,000 in September, as revised. Employment has fallen by 1.2 million in the first 10 months of 2008; over half of the decrease has occurred in the past 3 months. In October, job losses continued in manufacturing, construction, and several service providing industries. Health care and mining continued to add jobs.
Market downturn fall 2008:
As of October 2008, stocks in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region had all fallen by about 30% since the beginning of the year. In September, Australian Securities Exchange delayed opening by an hour after a decision was made by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission to ban all short selling on the ASX. This was revised slightly a few days later.
There were several large declines in stock markets world wide during 2008, including one in January, one in August, one in September, and another in early October. The concurrent many crises upsetting the US economic system in centre September 2008 caused large falls in markets both in the US and somewhere else. In September, UK regulators announced impermanent disallow on short-selling of financial stocks. September 19th the US. SEC followed by placing a impermanent disallow of short-selling stocks of 799 specific financial institutions.
Russian markets, by now diminishing due to dilapidated oil prices and political tensions with the West, fell over 10% in one day, leading to a postponement of trading, while other up-and-coming markets also exhibited losses.
Economic crisis In Asia:
Countries in Asia are more and more worried about what is happening in the West. A number of nations urge the US to give significant assurance and stand surety packages for the US financial system, as that would have a unplanned effect of comforting foreign investors and helping simplicity concerns in other parts of the world.Many Asian countries have seen their stock markets suffer and currency values going on a downward trend. Asian products and services are also global, and a slowdown in wealthy countries means increased chances of a slowdown in Asia and the risk of job losses and associated problems such as social unrest.
Many thought Asia was adequately decoupled from the Western economic systems. Asia has not had a vice- major mortgage crisis like many nations in the West have. That guide to huge investment in Western countries. In addition, there was bigger foreign investment in Asia, mostly from the West.
Nevertheless, this crisis has exposed that in an progressively more inter-connected world means there are always unplanned effects and as a result, Asia has had more experience to problems stemming from the West.Asian nations are mulling over the formation of Asian foreign exchange finance, but market shocks are assembly some Asian countries anxious and it is not obvious if all will be able to do.
Economic crisis In Africa:
In the long run, it can be usual that foreign investment in Africa will reduce as the credit grasp takes hold. In addition, foreign aid, which is important for a number of African countries, is likely to reduce.Possibly paradoxically, because of Africa’s usually feeble integration with the rest of the global economic system, as reported by Reuters, it is believed many African countries will not be affected from the crisis, at least not at first.
As the crisis get deeper and the global institutions and western banks that have rented money to Africa need to coast up their reserves more, one method could be to insist debt repayment. This could cause additional cuts in social services such as health and education, which have already been compact due to crises and policies from previous eras.
Economic crisis In Europe:
In Europe, a number of chief financial institutions have failed, or required rescue. A number of European countries are attempting dissimilar measures (as they seemed to have failed to come up with a united response).
For example, some nations have stepped in to nationalize or in some way attempt to provide assurance for people. This may include guaranteeing 100% of people’s savings or helping dealer deals between large banks to certify there isn’t a failure.
Market downturn fall 2008:
As of October 2008, stocks in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region had all fallen by about 30% since the beginning of the year. In September, Australian Securities Exchange delayed opening by an hour after a decision was made by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission to ban all short selling on the ASX. This was revised slightly a few days later.
There were several large declines in stock markets world wide during 2008, including one in January, one in August, one in September, and another in early October. The concurrent many crises upsetting the US economic system in centre September 2008 caused large falls in markets both in the US and somewhere else. In September, UK regulators announced impermanent disallow on short-selling of financial stocks. September 19th the US. SEC followed by placing an impermanent disallow of short-selling stocks of 799 specific financial institutions.
Russian markets, by now diminishing due to dilapidated oil prices and political tensions with the West, fell over 10% in one day, leading to a postponement of trading, while other up-and-coming markets also exhibited losses.